Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) is facing a tough Republican primary if polling results from Landmark/Rosetta Stone hold true. While no single opponent appears to be running away with the race, Lindsey Graham only gets the support of 42% of primary voters — well below the 50% needed to avoid a runoff and a red flag for any incumbent senator even when accounting for the poll’s margin of error.
Graham only approaches 50% in two categories: Women and senior voters. Among men, Graham gets only 38% support and among women 47%. Graham performs best among older voters but still barely crosses over the 50% mark, earning the support of 51% of those age 65 or older. Graham’s support among younger voters is almost non-existent with only 25% of Republicans under 36 years old willing to vote for the Senator.
Sen. Graham will face challengers Lee Bright, a South Carolina state senator from Spartanburg; Nancy Mace, first female graduate of the Citadel; and Richard Cash, a businessman from the South Carolina upstate. Of those challengers, Lee Bright appears to have the most support (13%) with Nancy Mace close behind (10%). Whichever challenger gets second place will face Graham in a runoff after the primary if Graham does not receive 50% of the vote.
Q: If the Republican Primary Election for U.S. Senate were being held today and the candidates were Lee Bright, Lindsey Graham, the incumbent, Nancy Mace, and Richard Cash, for whom would you vote?
42% – Lindsey Graham
30% – Other announced candidate [Bright 13%, Mace 10%, Cash 7%)
28% – Undecided
Among Voters 18-35
24.5% – Lindsey Graham
41.5% – Other announced candidate [Bright 24.5%, Cash 9.5%, Mace 7.5%)
34.0% – Undecided
The poll has a margin of error of +/- 4.5%.